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Eid, K., Abou-Shaara, H. (2021). Predicting with the pest status of two main insects that attacking honey bee colonies in Africa based on the future climatic changes. Journal of Plant Protection and Pathology, 12(8), 535-541. doi: 10.21608/jppp.2021.198240
K. S.A Eid; H. F. Abou-Shaara. "Predicting with the pest status of two main insects that attacking honey bee colonies in Africa based on the future climatic changes". Journal of Plant Protection and Pathology, 12, 8, 2021, 535-541. doi: 10.21608/jppp.2021.198240
Eid, K., Abou-Shaara, H. (2021). 'Predicting with the pest status of two main insects that attacking honey bee colonies in Africa based on the future climatic changes', Journal of Plant Protection and Pathology, 12(8), pp. 535-541. doi: 10.21608/jppp.2021.198240
Eid, K., Abou-Shaara, H. Predicting with the pest status of two main insects that attacking honey bee colonies in Africa based on the future climatic changes. Journal of Plant Protection and Pathology, 2021; 12(8): 535-541. doi: 10.21608/jppp.2021.198240

Predicting with the pest status of two main insects that attacking honey bee colonies in Africa based on the future climatic changes

Article 7, Volume 12, Issue 8, August 2021, Page 535-541  XML PDF (1.39 MB)
Document Type: Original Article
DOI: 10.21608/jppp.2021.198240
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Authors
K. S.A Eid email ; H. F. Abou-Shaara
Department of Plant Protection, Faculty of Agriculture, Damanhour University
Abstract
The effects of future climate changes on the prevalence of Palarus latifrons Kohl. and Philanthus triangulum Fab that attacking honey bee colonies in Africa have not been studied before. Ecological modeling using Maxent and geographical information system (GIS) was used to achieve the study objective. The highest contribution in the model was to the annual mean temperature followed by mean temperature of the coldest quarter. The model performance was high and perfect in light of the used evaluation parameters. Some areas in southern and northern parts of Africa were suitable for the prevalence of P. latifrons Kohl. and P. triangulum Fab under current conditions.The study maps for future conditions during 2050 and 2070 highlighted the negative effects of climate change on the prevalence of these pests in specific parts in Africa. The consequences of such prevalence/limitation of P. latifrons and P. triangulum on beekeeping in Africa were discussed.
Keywords
beekeeping; Maxent; GIS; Modeling; honey bees
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